Ohio8th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Ohio 8th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Ohio's 8th congressional district House election between Democrat Vanessa Enoch and Republican Warren Davidson. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Ohio 8th District House election features Democrat Vanessa Enoch and Republican Warren Davidson. Incumbent Representative Warren Davidson is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Ohio's 8th congressional district by 18.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026. Ohio conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- OH-8
- Democratic candidate
- Vanessa Enoch
- Republican candidate
- Warren Davidson
- Incumbent / open seat
- Warren Davidson
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 43.0% D / 57.0% R
- Projected margin
- R +14.0
- Forecast odds
- 6.8% D / 93.2% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —