Oklahoma 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Oklahoma 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Oklahoma 3rd District House forecast currently gives Republican Frank Lucas a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Suzie Byrd. Pollsmax projects Lucas to receive 69.1% of the vote compared with 31% for Byrd, a projected Republican margin of 38.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Oklahoma 3rd District House election features Democrat Suzie Byrd and Republican Frank Lucas. Incumbent Representative Frank Lucas is seeking reelection to a seventeenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district by 28.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.