
Suzie Byrd
DEMOCRATIC
Newspaper Reporter

Oklahoma3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Frank Lucas*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-OK)
1994 – Present
2026 Oklahoma 3rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Suzie Byrd and Republican Frank Lucas. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Oklahoma 3rd District House election features Democrat Suzie Byrd and Republican Frank Lucas. Incumbent Representative Frank Lucas is seeking reelection to a seventeenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district by 28.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- OK-3
- Democratic candidate
- Suzie Byrd
- Republican candidate
- Frank Lucas
- Incumbent / open seat
- Frank Lucas
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 30.8% D / 69.2% R
- Projected margin
- R +38.4
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —