Suzie Byrd, 2026 Oklahoma 3rd District House Democratic candidate
Suzie Byrd
DEMOCRATIC
Newspaper Reporter
Oklahoma state flag

Oklahoma3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Frank Lucas, 2026 Oklahoma 3rd District House Republican candidate
Frank Lucas*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-OK)
1994 – Present

2026 Oklahoma 3rd District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Suzie Byrd and Republican Frank Lucas. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Oklahoma 3rd District House election features Democrat Suzie Byrd and Republican Frank Lucas. Incumbent Representative Frank Lucas is seeking reelection to a seventeenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district by 28.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
OK-3
Democratic candidate
Suzie Byrd
Republican candidate
Frank Lucas
Incumbent / open seat
Frank Lucas
Forecast rating
Solid R
Projected vote
30.8% D / 69.2% R
Projected margin
R +38.4
Forecast odds
0.1% D / 99.9% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll