
Suzanne Bonamici*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-OR)
2012 – Present

Oregon1st District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Barbara Kahl
REPUBLICAN
Veterinarian
2026 Oregon 1st District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Oregon's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat Suzanne Bonamici and Republican Barbara Kahl. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Oregon 1st District House election features Democrat Suzanne Bonamici and Republican Barbara Kahl. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Oregon's 1st congressional district by 7.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- OR-1
- Democratic candidate
- Suzanne Bonamici
- Republican candidate
- Barbara Kahl
- Incumbent / open seat
- Suzanne Bonamici
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.0% D / 30.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +39.9
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —