Suzanne Bonamici, 2026 Oregon 1st District House Democratic candidate
Suzanne Bonamici*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-OR)
2012 – Present
Oregon state flag

Oregon1st District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Barbara Kahl, 2026 Oregon 1st District House Republican candidate
Barbara Kahl
REPUBLICAN
Veterinarian

2026 Oregon 1st District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Oregon's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat Suzanne Bonamici and Republican Barbara Kahl. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Oregon 1st District House election features Democrat Suzanne Bonamici and Republican Barbara Kahl. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Oregon's 1st congressional district by 7.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
OR-1
Democratic candidate
Suzanne Bonamici
Republican candidate
Barbara Kahl
Incumbent / open seat
Suzanne Bonamici
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
70.0% D / 30.1% R
Projected margin
D +39.9
Forecast odds
99.9% D / 0.1% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll