Oregon 12026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Oregon 1st District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Oregon 1st District House forecast currently gives Democrat Suzanne Bonamici a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Barbara Kahl. Pollsmax projects Bonamici to receive 74.4% of the vote compared with 25.7% for Kahl, a projected Democratic margin of 48.7 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Oregon 1st District House election features Democrat Suzanne Bonamici and Republican Barbara Kahl. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Oregon's 1st congressional district by 7.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.