Maxine Dexter, 2026 Oregon 3rd District House Democratic candidate
Maxine Dexter*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-OR)
2025 – Present
Oregon state flag

Oregon3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Loran Ayles, 2026 Oregon 3rd District House Republican candidate
Loran Ayles
REPUBLICAN
Heavy Equipment Operator

2026 Oregon 3rd District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Oregon's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Maxine Dexter and Republican Loran Ayles. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Oregon 3rd District House election features Democrat Maxine Dexter and Republican Loran Ayles. Incumbent Representative Maxine Dexter is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Oregon's 3rd congressional district by 22.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
OR-3
Democratic candidate
Maxine Dexter
Republican candidate
Loran Ayles
Incumbent / open seat
Maxine Dexter
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
70.1% D / 30.0% R
Projected margin
D +40.1
Forecast odds
99.9% D / 0.1% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll