Oregon 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Oregon 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Oregon 3rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Maxine Dexter a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Loran Ayles. Pollsmax projects Dexter to receive 74.2% of the vote compared with 25.8% for Ayles, a projected Democratic margin of 48.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Oregon 3rd District House election features Democrat Maxine Dexter and Republican Loran Ayles. Incumbent Representative Maxine Dexter is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Oregon's 3rd congressional district by 22.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.