Val Hoyle, 2026 Oregon 4th District House Democratic candidate
Val Hoyle*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-OR)
2023 – Present
Oregon state flag

Oregon4th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Monique DeSpain, 2026 Oregon 4th District House Republican candidate
Monique DeSpain
REPUBLICAN
Attorney

2026 Oregon 4th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Oregon's 4th congressional district House election between Democrat Val Hoyle and Republican Monique DeSpain. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Oregon 4th District House election features Democrat Val Hoyle and Republican Monique DeSpain. Incumbent Representative Val Hoyle is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Oregon's 4th congressional district by 1.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
OR-4
Democratic candidate
Val Hoyle
Republican candidate
Monique DeSpain
Incumbent / open seat
Val Hoyle
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
57.8% D / 42.3% R
Projected margin
D +15.5
Forecast odds
95.4% D / 4.6% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll