Oregon 42026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Oregon 4th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Oregon 4th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Val Hoyle a 95.5% chance of defeating Republican Monique DeSpain. Pollsmax projects Hoyle to receive 57.8% of the vote compared with 42.2% for DeSpain, a projected Democratic margin of 15.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Oregon 4th District House election features Democrat Val Hoyle and Republican Monique DeSpain. Incumbent Representative Val Hoyle is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Oregon's 4th congressional district by 1.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.