Janelle Bynum*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-OR)
2025 – Present
Oregon5th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Patti Adair
REPUBLICAN
Deschutes County Commissioner
2026 Oregon 5th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Oregon's 5th congressional district House election between Democrat Janelle Bynum and Republican Patti Adair. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Oregon 5th District House election features Democrat Janelle Bynum and Republican Patti Adair. Incumbent Representative Janelle Bynum is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Oregon's 5th congressional district by 1.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- OR-5
- Democratic candidate
- Janelle Bynum
- Republican candidate
- Patti Adair
- Incumbent / open seat
- Janelle Bynum
- Forecast rating
- Likely D
- Projected vote
- 55.0% D / 45.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +9.9
- Forecast odds
- 87.4% D / 12.6% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —