Oregon 52026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Oregon 5th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Oregon 5th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Janelle Bynum a 87.8% chance of defeating Republican Patti Adair. Pollsmax projects Bynum to receive 55% of the vote compared with 45% for Adair, a projected Democratic margin of 10 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Oregon 5th District House election features Democrat Janelle Bynum and Republican Patti Adair. Incumbent Representative Janelle Bynum is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Oregon's 5th congressional district by 1.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.