Pennsylvania 152026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Pennsylvania 15th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Pennsylvania 15th District House forecast currently gives Republican Glenn Thompson a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Ray Bilger. Pollsmax projects Thompson to receive 74.8% of the vote compared with 25.2% for Bilger, a projected Republican margin of 49.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Pennsylvania 15th District House election features Democrat Ray Bilger and Republican Glenn Thompson. Incumbent Representative Glenn Thompson is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district by 21.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.