Ray Bilger
DEMOCRATIC
Intelligence Officer
Pennsylvania15th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Glenn Thompson*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-PA)
2009 – Present
2026 Pennsylvania 15th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district House election between Democrat Ray Bilger and Republican Glenn Thompson. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Pennsylvania 15th District House election features Democrat Ray Bilger and Republican Glenn Thompson. Incumbent Representative Glenn Thompson is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district by 21.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- PA-15
- Democratic candidate
- Ray Bilger
- Republican candidate
- Glenn Thompson
- Incumbent / open seat
- Glenn Thompson
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 30.0% D / 70.0% R
- Projected margin
- R +40.0
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —