Pennsylvania 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Pennsylvania 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Pennsylvania 2nd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Brendan Boyle a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Jessica Arriaga. Pollsmax projects Boyle to receive 76.2% of the vote compared with 23.8% for Arriaga, a projected Democratic margin of 52.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Pennsylvania 2nd District House election features Democrat Brendan Boyle and Republican Jessica Arriaga. Incumbent Representative Brendan Boyle is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district by 23.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.