Brendan Boyle*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-PA)
2015 – Present
Pennsylvania2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Jessica Arriaga
REPUBLICAN
Entrepreneur
2026 Pennsylvania 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Brendan Boyle and Republican Jessica Arriaga. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Pennsylvania 2nd District House election features Democrat Brendan Boyle and Republican Jessica Arriaga. Incumbent Representative Brendan Boyle is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district by 23.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- PA-2
- Democratic candidate
- Brendan Boyle
- Republican candidate
- Jessica Arriaga
- Incumbent / open seat
- Brendan Boyle
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.0% D / 30.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +39.9
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —