Pennsylvania 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Pennsylvania 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Chris Rabb a 99.9% chance of defeating independent Dennis Mahoney. Pollsmax projects Rabb to receive 81.3% of the vote compared with 18.7% for Mahoney, a projected Democratic margin of 62.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Pennsylvania 3rd District House election features Democrat Chris Rabb and independent Dennis Mahoney. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district by 39.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.