Pennsylvania7th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Pennsylvania 7th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district House election between Democrat Bob Brooks and Republican Ryan Mackenzie. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Pennsylvania 7th District House election features Democrat Bob Brooks and Republican Ryan Mackenzie. Incumbent Representative Ryan Mackenzie is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district by 0.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as tilt Democratic in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Pennsylvania seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Pennsylvania's 7th District will be critical in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- PA-7
- Democratic candidate
- Bob Brooks
- Republican candidate
- Ryan Mackenzie
- Incumbent / open seat
- Ryan Mackenzie
- Forecast rating
- Tilt D
- Projected vote
- 50.2% D / 49.8% R
- Projected margin
- D +0.4
- Forecast odds
- 55.5% D / 44.5% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —