Pennsylvania8th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 Pennsylvania 8th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district House election between Democrat Paige Cognetti and Republican Rob Bresnahan. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Pennsylvania 8th District House election features Democrat Paige Cognetti and Republican Rob Bresnahan. Incumbent Representative Rob Bresnahan is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district by 2.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as tilt Republican in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Pennsylvania seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Pennsylvania's 8th District will be critical in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.