Rachel Wallace
DEMOCRATIC
Chief of Staff in Office of Management and Budget
Pennsylvania9th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Dan Meuser*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-PA)
2019 – Present
2026 Pennsylvania 9th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district House election between Democrat Rachel Wallace and Republican Dan Meuser. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Pennsylvania 9th District House election features Democrat Rachel Wallace and Republican Dan Meuser. Incumbent Representative Dan Meuser is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district by 15.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- PA-9
- Democratic candidate
- Rachel Wallace
- Republican candidate
- Dan Meuser
- Incumbent / open seat
- Dan Meuser
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 30.0% D / 70.1% R
- Projected margin
- R +40.1
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —