Pennsylvania 92026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Pennsylvania 9th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Pennsylvania 9th District House forecast currently gives Republican Dan Meuser a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Rachel Wallace. Pollsmax projects Meuser to receive 74.2% of the vote compared with 25.9% for Wallace, a projected Republican margin of 48.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Pennsylvania 9th District House election features Democrat Rachel Wallace and Republican Dan Meuser. Incumbent Representative Dan Meuser is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district by 15.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.