South Carolina 12026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 South Carolina 1st District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 South Carolina 1st District House forecast currently gives Republican Jenny Costa Honeycutt a 65.8% chance of defeating Democrat Nancy Lacore. Pollsmax projects Honeycutt to receive 51.5% of the vote compared with 48.5% for Lacore, a projected Republican margin of 3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Lean Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 South Carolina 1st District House election features Democrat Nancy Lacore and Republican Jenny Costa Honeycutt. The seat is open in 2026, giving both parties a chance to win the district's representation in the lower chamber of Congress. In 2024, Donald Trump won South Carolina's 1st congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as lean Republican in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive South Carolina seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. South Carolina's 1st District will be important in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.