

South Carolina 12026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 South Carolina 1st District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 South Carolina 1st District House forecast currently gives Republican Jenny Costa Honeycutt a 88.2% chance of defeating Democrat Nancy Lacore. Pollsmax projects Honeycutt to receive 55.1% of the vote compared with 45% for Lacore, a projected Republican margin of 10.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 South Carolina 1st District House election features Democrat Nancy Lacore and Republican Jenny Costa Honeycutt. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won South Carolina's 1st congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- SC-1
- Democratic candidate
- Nancy Lacore
- Republican candidate
- Jenny Costa Honeycutt
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 45.0% D / 55.1% R
- Projected margin
- R +10.1
- Forecast odds
- 11.8% D / 88.2% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- 40.7% D / 46.0% R
- Polling average margin
- R +5.3
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 10, 2026
- Polls included
- 2
- Latest poll
- Public Policy Polling (D) — September 10, 2026