South Carolina 42026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 South Carolina 4th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 South Carolina 4th District House forecast currently gives Republican William Timmons a 97.3% chance of defeating Democrat Courtney McClain. Pollsmax projects Timmons to receive 59.6% of the vote compared with 40.5% for McClain, a projected Republican margin of 19.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 South Carolina 4th District House election features Democrat Courtney McClain and Republican William Timmons. Incumbent Representative William Timmons is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won South Carolina's 4th congressional district by 16.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.