Courtney McClain
DEMOCRATIC
Political Organizer
South Carolina4th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
William Timmons*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-SC)
2019 – Present
2026 South Carolina 4th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for South Carolina's 4th congressional district House election between Democrat Courtney McClain and Republican William Timmons. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 South Carolina 4th District House election features Democrat Courtney McClain and Republican William Timmons. Incumbent Representative William Timmons is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won South Carolina's 4th congressional district by 16.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- SC-4
- Democratic candidate
- Courtney McClain
- Republican candidate
- William Timmons
- Incumbent / open seat
- William Timmons
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.4% D / 59.6% R
- Projected margin
- R +19.2
- Forecast odds
- 2.6% D / 97.4% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —