South Carolina 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 South Carolina 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 South Carolina 7th District House forecast currently gives Republican Russell Fry a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat John Vincent. Pollsmax projects Fry to receive 65.1% of the vote compared with 35% for Vincent, a projected Republican margin of 30.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 South Carolina 7th District House election features Democrat John Vincent and Republican Russell Fry. Incumbent Representative Russell Fry is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won South Carolina's 7th congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.