John Vincent
DEMOCRATIC
Retiree
South Carolina7th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Russell Fry*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-SC)
2023 – Present
2026 South Carolina 7th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for South Carolina's 7th congressional district House election between Democrat John Vincent and Republican Russell Fry. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 South Carolina 7th District House election features Democrat John Vincent and Republican Russell Fry. Incumbent Representative Russell Fry is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won South Carolina's 7th congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- SC-7
- Democratic candidate
- John Vincent
- Republican candidate
- Russell Fry
- Incumbent / open seat
- Russell Fry
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 34.7% D / 65.4% R
- Projected margin
- R +30.7
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —