Tennessee 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Tennessee 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Tennessee 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican Tim Burchett a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Michaela Barnett. Pollsmax projects Burchett to receive 61.2% of the vote compared with 38.8% for Barnett, a projected Republican margin of 22.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Tennessee 2nd District House election features Democrat Michaela Barnett and Republican Tim Burchett. Incumbent Representative Tim Burchett is seeking reelection to a fifth term. This race is rated as solid Republican. Tennessee conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.