Tennessee 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Tennessee 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Tennessee 7th District House forecast currently gives Republican Matt Van Epps a 98.9% chance of defeating Democrat Darden Copeland. Pollsmax projects Epps to receive 60.1% of the vote compared with 39.9% for Copeland, a projected Republican margin of 20.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Tennessee 7th District House election features Democrat Darden Copeland and Republican Matt Van Epps. Incumbent Representative Matt Van Epps is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Tennessee's 7th congressional district by 21.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Tennessee conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.