Tennessee 82026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Tennessee 8th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Tennessee's 8th congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican David Kustoff. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Tennessee 8th District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican David Kustoff. Incumbent Representative David Kustoff is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Tennessee's 8th congressional district by 20.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Tennessee conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- TN-8
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- David Kustoff
- Incumbent / open seat
- David Kustoff
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.0% D / 60.1% R
- Projected margin
- R +20.1
- Forecast odds
- 1.1% D / 98.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —