Tennessee 82026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Tennessee 8th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Tennessee 8th District House forecast currently gives Republican David Kustoff a 98.9% chance of defeating Democrat Heidi Kuhn. Pollsmax projects Kustoff to receive 60.1% of the vote compared with 39.9% for Kuhn, a projected Republican margin of 20.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Tennessee 8th District House election features Democrat Heidi Kuhn and Republican David Kustoff. Incumbent Representative David Kustoff is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Tennessee's 8th congressional district by 20.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Tennessee conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.