Texas 132026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 13th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 13th District House forecast currently gives Republican Ronny Jackson a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Mark Nair. Pollsmax projects Jackson to receive 70.1% of the vote compared with 30% for Nair, a projected Republican margin of 40.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 13th District House election features Democrat Mark Nair and Republican Ronny Jackson. Incumbent Representative Ronny Jackson is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 13th congressional district by 34.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.