Texas 142026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 14th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 14th District House forecast currently gives Republican Randy Weber a 97.3% chance of defeating Democrat Thurman Bartie. Pollsmax projects Weber to receive 59.8% of the vote compared with 40.3% for Bartie, a projected Republican margin of 19.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 14th District House election features Democrat Thurman Bartie and Republican Randy Weber. Incumbent Representative Randy Weber is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 14th congressional district by 13.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.