Texas14th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Texas 14th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Texas's 14th congressional district House election between Democrat Thurman Bartie and Republican Randy Weber. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Texas 14th District House election features Democrat Thurman Bartie and Republican Randy Weber. Incumbent Representative Randy Weber is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 14th congressional district by 13.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- TX-14
- Democratic candidate
- Thurman Bartie
- Republican candidate
- Randy Weber
- Incumbent / open seat
- Randy Weber
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.2% D / 59.9% R
- Projected margin
- R +19.7
- Forecast odds
- 2.3% D / 97.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —