Texas 172026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 17th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 17th District House forecast currently gives Republican Pete Sessions a 99% chance of defeating Democrat Casey Shepard. Pollsmax projects Sessions to receive 57.6% of the vote compared with 42.5% for Shepard, a projected Republican margin of 15.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 17th District House election features Democrat Casey Shepard and Republican Pete Sessions. Incumbent Representative Pete Sessions is seeking reelection to a fifteenth term. This race is rated as solid Republican. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.