Texas 172026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 17th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 17th District House forecast currently gives Republican Pete Sessions a 97.3% chance of defeating Democrat Casey Shepard. Pollsmax projects Sessions to receive 59.7% of the vote compared with 40.3% for Shepard, a projected Republican margin of 19.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 17th District House election features Democrat Casey Shepard and Republican Pete Sessions. Incumbent Representative Pete Sessions is seeking reelection to a fifteenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 17th congressional district by 13.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.