Texas 182026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 18th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 18th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Christian Menefee a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Ronald Whitfield. Pollsmax projects Menefee to receive 79.2% of the vote compared with 20.9% for Whitfield, a projected Democratic margin of 58.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 18th District House election features Democrat Christian Menefee and Republican Ronald Whitfield. Incumbent Representative Christian Menefee is seeking reelection to a first term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Texas' 18th congressional district by 25.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.