Texas18th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Texas 18th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Texas's 18th congressional district House election between Democrat Christian Menefee and Republican Ronald Whitfield. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Texas 18th District House election features Democrat Christian Menefee and Republican Ronald Whitfield. Incumbent Representative Christian Menefee is seeking reelection to a first term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Texas' 18th congressional district by 25.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- TX-18
- Democratic candidate
- Christian Menefee
- Republican candidate
- Ronald Whitfield
- Incumbent / open seat
- Christian Menefee
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.1% D / 30.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.1
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —