Texas 192026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 19th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 19th District House forecast currently gives Republican Tom Sell a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Kyle Rable. Pollsmax projects Sell to receive 70% of the vote compared with 30.1% for Rable, a projected Republican margin of 39.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 19th District House election features Democrat Kyle Rable and Republican Tom Sell. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 19th congressional district by 28.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.