Texas 212026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 21st District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 21st District House forecast currently gives Republican Mark Teixeira a 98.6% chance of defeating Democrat Kristin Hook. Pollsmax projects Teixeira to receive 60% of the vote compared with 40.1% for Hook, a projected Republican margin of 19.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 21st District House election features Democrat Kristin Hook and Republican Mark Teixeira. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 21st congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.