Texas24th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Texas 24th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Texas's 24th congressional district House election between Democrat Kevin Burge and Republican Beth Van Duyne. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Texas 24th District House election features Democrat Kevin Burge and Republican Beth Van Duyne. Incumbent Representative Beth Van Duyne is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 24th congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- TX-24
- Democratic candidate
- Kevin Burge
- Republican candidate
- Beth Van Duyne
- Incumbent / open seat
- Beth Van Duyne
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.6% D / 59.4% R
- Projected margin
- R +18.8
- Forecast odds
- 3.1% D / 96.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —