Texas25th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Texas 25th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Texas's 25th congressional district House election between Democrat Dione Sims and Republican Roger Williams. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Texas 25th District House election features Democrat Dione Sims and Republican Roger Williams. Incumbent Representative Roger Williams is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 25th congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- TX-25
- Democratic candidate
- Dione Sims
- Republican candidate
- Roger Williams
- Incumbent / open seat
- Roger Williams
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.5% D / 59.5% R
- Projected margin
- R +19.0
- Forecast odds
- 2.7% D / 97.3% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —