Texas 252026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 25th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 25th District House forecast currently gives Republican Roger Williams a 97.1% chance of defeating Democrat Dione Sims. Pollsmax projects Williams to receive 59.6% of the vote compared with 40.4% for Sims, a projected Republican margin of 19.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 25th District House election features Democrat Dione Sims and Republican Roger Williams. Incumbent Representative Roger Williams is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 25th congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.