Texas 252026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 25th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 25th District House forecast currently gives Republican Roger Williams a 98.8% chance of defeating Democrat Dione Sims. Pollsmax projects Williams to receive 57.5% of the vote compared with 42.5% for Sims, a projected Republican margin of 15 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 25th District House election features Democrat Dione Sims and Republican Roger Williams. Incumbent Representative Roger Williams is seeking reelection to a eighth term. This race is rated as solid Republican. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.