Texas 262026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 26th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 26th District House forecast currently gives Republican Brandon Gill a 99.3% chance of defeating Democrat Steven Shook. Pollsmax projects Gill to receive 58.3% of the vote compared with 41.8% for Shook, a projected Republican margin of 16.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 26th District House election features Democrat Steven Shook and Republican Brandon Gill. Incumbent Representative Brandon Gill is seeking reelection to a second term. This race is rated as solid Republican. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.