Texas26th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Texas 26th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Texas's 26th congressional district House election between Democrat Steven Shook and Republican Brandon Gill. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Texas 26th District House election features Democrat Steven Shook and Republican Brandon Gill. Incumbent Representative Brandon Gill is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 26th congressional district by 19.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- TX-26
- Democratic candidate
- Steven Shook
- Republican candidate
- Brandon Gill
- Incumbent / open seat
- Brandon Gill
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.0% D / 60.0% R
- Projected margin
- R +20.0
- Forecast odds
- 1.0% D / 99.0% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —