Texas 262026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 26th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 26th District House forecast currently gives Republican Brandon Gill a 98.8% chance of defeating Democrat Steven Shook. Pollsmax projects Gill to receive 60% of the vote compared with 40.1% for Shook, a projected Republican margin of 19.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 26th District House election features Democrat Steven Shook and Republican Brandon Gill. Incumbent Representative Brandon Gill is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 26th congressional district by 19.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.