Texas27th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Texas 27th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Texas's 27th congressional district House election between Democrat Tanya Lloyd and Republican Michael Cloud. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Texas 27th District House election features Democrat Tanya Lloyd and Republican Michael Cloud. Incumbent Representative Michael Cloud is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 27th congressional district by 14.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- TX-27
- Democratic candidate
- Tanya Lloyd
- Republican candidate
- Michael Cloud
- Incumbent / open seat
- Michael Cloud
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.2% D / 59.8% R
- Projected margin
- R +19.6
- Forecast odds
- 1.5% D / 98.5% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —