Texas 272026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 27th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 27th District House forecast currently gives Republican Michael Cloud a 99% chance of defeating Democrat Tanya Lloyd. Pollsmax projects Cloud to receive 57.6% of the vote compared with 42.4% for Lloyd, a projected Republican margin of 15.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 27th District House election features Democrat Tanya Lloyd and Republican Michael Cloud. Incumbent Representative Michael Cloud is seeking reelection to a fifth term. This race is rated as solid Republican. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.