Texas 292026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 29th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 29th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Sylvia Garcia a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Martha Fierro. Pollsmax projects Garcia to receive 69.9% of the vote compared with 30.1% for Fierro, a projected Democratic margin of 39.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 29th District House election features Democrat Sylvia Garcia and Republican Martha Fierro. Incumbent Representative Sylvia Garcia is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Texas' 29th congressional district by 17.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.