Texas 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 3rd District House forecast currently gives Republican Keith Self a 97.4% chance of defeating Democrat Evan Hunt. Pollsmax projects Self to receive 59.8% of the vote compared with 40.3% for Hunt, a projected Republican margin of 19.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 3rd District House election features Democrat Evan Hunt and Republican Keith Self. Incumbent Representative Keith Self is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 3rd congressional district by 14.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.