Texas33rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Texas 33rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Texas's 33rd congressional district House election between Democrat Colin Allred and Republican Patrick Gillespie. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Texas 33rd District House election features Democrat Colin Allred and Republican Patrick Gillespie. Incumbent Representative Marc Veasey is seeking reelection. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Texas' 33rd congressional district by 21.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- TX-33
- Democratic candidate
- Colin Allred
- Republican candidate
- Patrick Gillespie
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.1% D / 30.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.1
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —