Texas 332026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 33rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 33rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Colin Allred a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Patrick Gillespie. Pollsmax projects Allred to receive 70% of the vote compared with 30.1% for Gillespie, a projected Democratic margin of 39.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 33rd District House election features Democrat Colin Allred and Republican Patrick Gillespie. Incumbent Representative Marc Veasey is seeking reelection. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Texas' 33rd congressional district by 21.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.