Texas36th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Texas 36th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Texas's 36th congressional district House election between Democrat Rhonda Hart and Republican Brian Babin. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Texas 36th District House election features Democrat Rhonda Hart and Republican Brian Babin. Incumbent Representative Brian Babin is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 36th congressional district by 27.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- TX-36
- Democratic candidate
- Rhonda Hart
- Republican candidate
- Brian Babin
- Incumbent / open seat
- Brian Babin
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 39.1% D / 60.9% R
- Projected margin
- R +21.8
- Forecast odds
- 0.9% D / 99.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —