Texas 362026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 36th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 36th District House forecast currently gives Republican Brian Babin a 99.2% chance of defeating Democrat Rhonda Hart. Pollsmax projects Babin to receive 60.8% of the vote compared with 39.3% for Hart, a projected Republican margin of 21.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 36th District House election features Democrat Rhonda Hart and Republican Brian Babin. Incumbent Representative Brian Babin is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 36th congressional district by 27.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.