Texas 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 7th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Lizzie Fletcher a 99% chance of defeating Republican Alexander Hale. Pollsmax projects Fletcher to receive 61.1% of the vote compared with 38.9% for Hale, a projected Democratic margin of 22.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 7th District House election features Democrat Lizzie Fletcher and Republican Alexander Hale. Incumbent Representative Lizzie Fletcher is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 7th congressional district by 8.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.