Texas7th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Texas 7th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Texas's 7th congressional district House election between Democrat Lizzie Fletcher and Republican Alexander Hale. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Texas 7th District House election features Democrat Lizzie Fletcher and Republican Alexander Hale. Incumbent Representative Lizzie Fletcher is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 7th congressional district by 8.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- TX-7
- Democratic candidate
- Lizzie Fletcher
- Republican candidate
- Alexander Hale
- Incumbent / open seat
- Lizzie Fletcher
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 61.2% D / 38.9% R
- Projected margin
- D +22.3
- Forecast odds
- 99.2% D / 0.8% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —