Texas 82026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 8th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 8th District House forecast currently gives Republican Jessica Steinmann a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Laura Jones. Pollsmax projects Steinmann to receive 60.1% of the vote compared with 40% for Jones, a projected Republican margin of 20.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 8th District House election features Democrat Laura Jones and Republican Jessica Steinmann. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. This race is rated as solid Republican. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.