Texas 82026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Texas 8th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Texas 8th District House forecast currently gives Republican Jessica Steinmann a 99.2% chance of defeating Democrat Laura Jones. Pollsmax projects Steinmann to receive 62.2% of the vote compared with 37.9% for Jones, a projected Republican margin of 24.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Texas 8th District House election features Democrat Laura Jones and Republican Jessica Steinmann. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Texas' 8th congressional district by 29.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Texas conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.