Utah 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Utah 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Utah 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican Blake Moore a 99.5% chance of defeating Democrat Peter Crosby. Pollsmax projects Moore to receive 62.8% of the vote compared with 37.2% for Crosby, a projected Republican margin of 25.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Utah 2nd District House election features Democrat Peter Crosby and Republican Blake Moore. Incumbent Representative Blake Moore is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Utah's 2nd congressional district by 17.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Utah conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.