

Utah 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Utah 2nd District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Utah 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican Blake Moore a 99.6% chance of defeating Democrat Peter Crosby. Pollsmax projects Moore to receive 59.7% of the vote compared with 40.4% for Crosby, a projected Republican margin of 19.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Utah 2nd District House election features Democrat Peter Crosby and Republican Blake Moore. Incumbent Representative Blake Moore is seeking reelection to a fourth term. This race is rated as solid Republican. Utah conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- UT-2
- Democratic candidate
- Peter Crosby
- Republican candidate
- Blake Moore
- Incumbent / open seat
- Blake Moore
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.4% D / 59.7% R
- Projected margin
- R +19.3
- Forecast odds
- 0.4% D / 99.6% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on November 3, 2026
- Polling average
- 33.4% D / 33.3% R
- Polling average margin
- D +0.1
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 23, 2026
- Polls included
- 3
- Latest poll
- Crosby for Congress (D) — September 23, 2026