Utah2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Utah 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Utah's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Peter Crosby and Republican Blake Moore. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Utah 2nd District House election features Democrat Peter Crosby and Republican Blake Moore. Incumbent Representative Blake Moore is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Utah's 2nd congressional district by 17.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Utah conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- UT-2
- Democratic candidate
- Peter Crosby
- Republican candidate
- Blake Moore
- Incumbent / open seat
- Blake Moore
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 36.4% D / 63.7% R
- Projected margin
- R +27.3
- Forecast odds
- 0.4% D / 99.6% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —