Peter Crosby, 2026 Utah 2nd District House Democratic candidate
Peter Crosby
DEMOCRATIC
Project Manager
Utah state flag

Utah 22026 HOUSE POLLS

Blake Moore, 2026 Utah 2nd District House Republican candidate
Blake Moore*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-UT)
2021 – Present

2026 Utah 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Utah 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican Blake Moore a 99.6% chance of defeating Democrat Peter Crosby. Pollsmax projects Moore to receive 59.7% of the vote compared with 40.4% for Crosby, a projected Republican margin of 19.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Utah 2nd District House election features Democrat Peter Crosby and Republican Blake Moore. Incumbent Representative Blake Moore is seeking reelection to a fourth term. This race is rated as solid Republican. Utah conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
UT-2
Democratic candidate
Peter Crosby
Republican candidate
Blake Moore
Incumbent / open seat
Blake Moore
Forecast rating
Solid R
Projected vote
40.4% D / 59.7% R
Projected margin
R +19.3
Forecast odds
0.4% D / 99.6% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on November 3, 2026
Polling average
33.4% D / 33.3% R
Polling average margin
D +0.1
Polling last updated
12:00 AM on September 23, 2026
Polls included
3
Latest poll
Crosby for Congress (D) — September 23, 2026