Utah3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Utah 3rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Utah's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Kent Udell and Republican Celeste Maloy. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Utah 3rd District House election features Democrat Kent Udell and Republican Celeste Maloy. Incumbent Representative Celeste Maloy is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Utah's 3rd congressional district by 26.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Utah conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Democrats overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- UT-3
- Democratic candidate
- Kent Udell
- Republican candidate
- Celeste Maloy
- Incumbent / open seat
- Celeste Maloy
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 30.2% D / 69.8% R
- Projected margin
- R +39.6
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —