Vermont AL2026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Vermont At-Large District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Vermont At-Large District House forecast currently gives Democrat Becca Balint a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Gerald Malloy. Pollsmax projects Balint to receive 67.8% of the vote compared with 32.3% for Malloy, a projected Democratic margin of 35.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Vermont at-large District House election features Democrat Becca Balint and Republican Gerald Malloy. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Vermont's at-large congressional district by 13.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.