Virginia 102026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Virginia 10th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Virginia 10th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Suhas Subramanyam a 96% chance of defeating Republican Dave Beckwith. Pollsmax projects Subramanyam to receive 58.1% of the vote compared with 41.9% for Beckwith, a projected Democratic margin of 16.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Virginia 10th District House election features Democrat Suhas Subramanyam and Republican Dave Beckwith. Incumbent Representative Suhas Subramanyam is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Virginia's 10th congressional district by 0.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.