Virginia 112026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Virginia 11th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Virginia 11th District House forecast currently gives Democrat James Walkinshaw a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Arthur Purves. Pollsmax projects Walkinshaw to receive 73% of the vote compared with 27.1% for Purves, a projected Democratic margin of 45.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Virginia 11th District House election features Democrat James Walkinshaw and Republican Arthur Purves. Incumbent Representative James Walkinshaw is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Virginia's 11th congressional district by 13.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.