James Walkinshaw*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-VA)
2025 – Present
Virginia11th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Arthur Purves
REPUBLICAN
Fairfax County Taxpayers Alliance President
2026 Virginia 11th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Virginia's 11th congressional district House election between Democrat James Walkinshaw and Republican Arthur Purves. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Virginia 11th District House election features Democrat James Walkinshaw and Republican Arthur Purves. Incumbent Representative James Walkinshaw is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Virginia's 11th congressional district by 13.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- VA-11
- Democratic candidate
- James Walkinshaw
- Republican candidate
- Arthur Purves
- Incumbent / open seat
- James Walkinshaw
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 68.0% D / 32.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +36.0
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —