

Virginia2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 Virginia 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Virginia's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Jen Kiggans. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Virginia 2nd District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Jen Kiggans. Incumbent Representative Jen Kiggans is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Virginia's 2nd congressional district by 4.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as tilt Republican in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Virginia seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Virginia's 2nd District will be critical in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- VA-2
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- Jen Kiggans
- Incumbent / open seat
- Jen Kiggans
- Forecast rating
- Tilt R
- Projected vote
- 49.8% D / 50.3% R
- Projected margin
- R +0.5
- Forecast odds
- 43.9% D / 56.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —