Bobby Scott, 2026 Virginia 3rd District House Democratic candidate
Bobby Scott*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-VA)
1993 – Present
Virginia state flag

Virginia3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Edwin Rivera, 2026 Virginia 3rd District House Republican candidate
Edwin Rivera
REPUBLICAN
US Army

2026 Virginia 3rd District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Virginia's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Bobby Scott and Republican Edwin Rivera. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Virginia 3rd District House election features Democrat Bobby Scott and Republican Edwin Rivera. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott is seeking reelection to a eighteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Virginia's 3rd congressional district by 14.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
VA-3
Democratic candidate
Bobby Scott
Republican candidate
Edwin Rivera
Incumbent / open seat
Bobby Scott
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
70.1% D / 30.0% R
Projected margin
D +40.1
Forecast odds
99.9% D / 0.1% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll