
Bobby Scott*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-VA)
1993 – Present

Virginia3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Edwin Rivera
REPUBLICAN
US Army
2026 Virginia 3rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Virginia's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Bobby Scott and Republican Edwin Rivera. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Virginia 3rd District House election features Democrat Bobby Scott and Republican Edwin Rivera. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott is seeking reelection to a eighteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Virginia's 3rd congressional district by 14.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- VA-3
- Democratic candidate
- Bobby Scott
- Republican candidate
- Edwin Rivera
- Incumbent / open seat
- Bobby Scott
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.1% D / 30.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.1
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —