Virginia 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Virginia 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Virginia 3rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Bobby Scott a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Edwin Rivera. Pollsmax projects Scott to receive 75% of the vote compared with 25% for Rivera, a projected Democratic margin of 50 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Virginia 3rd District House election features Democrat Bobby Scott and Republican Edwin Rivera. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott is seeking reelection to a eighteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Virginia's 3rd congressional district by 14.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.