Jennifer McClellan, 2026 Virginia 4th District House Democratic candidate
Jennifer McClellan*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-VA)
2023 – Present
Virginia state flag

Virginia4th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

TBD, 2026 Virginia 4th District House Republican candidate
Republicans
REPUBLICAN

2026 Virginia 4th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Virginia's 4th congressional district House election between Democrat Jennifer McClellan and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Virginia 4th District House election features Democrat Jennifer McClellan and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Jennifer McClellan is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Virginia's 4th congressional district by 8.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
VA-4
Democratic candidate
Jennifer McClellan
Republican candidate
TBD
Incumbent / open seat
Jennifer McClellan
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
67.0% D / 33.1% R
Projected margin
D +33.9
Forecast odds
99.9% D / 0.1% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll