
Jennifer McClellan*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-VA)
2023 – Present

Virginia4th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Republicans
REPUBLICAN
2026 Virginia 4th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Virginia's 4th congressional district House election between Democrat Jennifer McClellan and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Virginia 4th District House election features Democrat Jennifer McClellan and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Jennifer McClellan is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Virginia's 4th congressional district by 8.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- VA-4
- Democratic candidate
- Jennifer McClellan
- Republican candidate
- TBD
- Incumbent / open seat
- Jennifer McClellan
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 67.0% D / 33.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +33.9
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —