

Virginia 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Virginia 7th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Virginia 7th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Eugene Vindman a 85.9% chance of defeating Republican Doug Ollivant. Pollsmax projects Vindman to receive 54.7% of the vote compared with 45.4% for Ollivant, a projected Democratic margin of 9.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Virginia 7th District House election features Democrat Eugene Vindman and Republican Doug Ollivant. Incumbent Representative Eugene Vindman is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Virginia's 7th congressional district by 7.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- VA-7
- Democratic candidate
- Eugene Vindman
- Republican candidate
- Doug Ollivant
- Incumbent / open seat
- Eugene Vindman
- Forecast rating
- Likely D
- Projected vote
- 54.7% D / 45.4% R
- Projected margin
- D +9.3
- Forecast odds
- 85.9% D / 14.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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