Virginia 82026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Virginia 8th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Virginia 8th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Don Beyer a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Tony Sabio. Pollsmax projects Beyer to receive 76.2% of the vote compared with 23.8% for Sabio, a projected Democratic margin of 52.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Virginia 8th District House election features Democrat Don Beyer and Republican Tony Sabio. Incumbent Representative Don Beyer is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Virginia's 8th congressional district by 19.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.