Democrats
DEMOCRATIC
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Virginia9th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Morgan Griffith*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-VA)
2011 – Present
2026 Virginia 9th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Virginia's 9th congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Morgan Griffith. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Virginia 9th District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Morgan Griffith. Incumbent Representative Morgan Griffith is seeking reelection to a ninth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Virginia's 9th congressional district by 20.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- VA-9
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- Morgan Griffith
- Incumbent / open seat
- Morgan Griffith
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 30.1% D / 70.0% R
- Projected margin
- R +39.9
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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