Virginia 92026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Virginia 9th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Virginia 9th District House forecast currently gives Republican Morgan Griffith a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Joy Powers. Pollsmax projects Griffith to receive 74.8% of the vote compared with 25.2% for Powers, a projected Republican margin of 49.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Virginia 9th District House election features Democrat Joy Powers and Republican Morgan Griffith. Incumbent Representative Morgan Griffith is seeking reelection to a ninth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Virginia's 9th congressional district by 20.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.