Democrats
DEMOCRATIC
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Washington 42026 HOUSE FORECAST
Republicans
REPUBLICAN
2026 Washington 4th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Washington's 4th congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Washington 4th District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican TBD. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Washington's 4th congressional district by 14.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- WA-4
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- TBD
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.2% D / 59.9% R
- Projected margin
- R +19.7
- Forecast odds
- 2.6% D / 97.4% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
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- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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