Washington 82026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Washington 8th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Washington 8th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Kim Schrier a 95.5% chance of defeating Republican Spencer Meline. Pollsmax projects Schrier to receive 57.7% of the vote compared with 42.4% for Meline, a projected Democratic margin of 15.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Washington 8th District House election features Democrat Kim Schrier and Republican Spencer Meline. Incumbent Representative Kim Schrier is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Washington's 8th congressional district by 1.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.