Washington 92026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Washington 9th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Washington 9th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Adam Smith a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Doug Basler. Pollsmax projects Smith to receive 69.1% of the vote compared with 30.9% for Basler, a projected Democratic margin of 38.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Washington 9th District House election features Democrat Adam Smith and Republican Doug Basler. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith is seeking reelection to a sixteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Washington's 9th congressional district by 19.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.