
Vince George
DEMOCRATIC
Public Policy Analyst

West Virginia1st District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Carol Miller*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-WV)
2019 – Present
2026 West Virginia 1st District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for West Virginia's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat Vince George and Republican Carol Miller. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 West Virginia 1st District House election features Democrat Vince George and Republican Carol Miller. Incumbent Representative Carol Miller is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won West Virginia's 1st congressional district by 20.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- WV-1
- Democratic candidate
- Vince George
- Republican candidate
- Carol Miller
- Incumbent / open seat
- Carol Miller
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 30.1% D / 70.0% R
- Projected margin
- R +39.9
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —