Democrats
DEMOCRATIC
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Wisconsin1st District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Bryan Steil*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-WI)
2019 – Present
2026 Wisconsin 1st District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Wisconsin's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Bryan Steil. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Wisconsin 1st District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Bryan Steil. Incumbent Representative Bryan Steil is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Wisconsin's 1st congressional district by 6.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- WI-1
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- Bryan Steil
- Incumbent / open seat
- Bryan Steil
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 45.0% D / 55.1% R
- Projected margin
- R +10.1
- Forecast odds
- 12.7% D / 87.3% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
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- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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